Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Sturm 57.1% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Staal
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
62.1% (356)
-5.1%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
75.0% (4)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
38.7% (62)
+6.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Staal
Sturm
Home
54.3% (667)
61.8% (191)
Away
54.7% (662)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Staal
Sturm
P1
56.2%
58.0%
P2
57.0%
57.9%
P3
49.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
58.8%