Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Roy 48.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 64.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Staal
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Staal
Roy
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Roy
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
49.5% (746)
+9.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.7% (75)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
42.7% (110)
+6.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Staal
Roy
Home
59.0% (578)
47.7% (491)
Away
55.9% (707)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Staal
Roy
P1
57.1%
51.1%
P2
60.9%
44.6%
P3
55.8%
50.9%
OT
20.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |