Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Roy 48.3% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Staal
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
48.3% (633)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
52.1% (48)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
43.7% (87)
+8.4%
On power play, Staal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Staal
Roy
Home
58.3% (705)
50.8% (376)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Staal
Roy
P1
54.5%
53.8%
P2
58.2%
43.5%
P3
54.1%
46.4%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%