Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Roy 47.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Staal
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
47.5% (617)
+11.4%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
39.6% (53)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
46.4% (97)
+5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Staal
Roy
Home
57.0% (646)
47.2% (398)
Away
59.1% (729)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Staal
Roy
P1
55.9%
48.6%
P2
55.4%
48.8%
P3
62.0%
43.9%
OT
70.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |