Jordan Staal vs Pavel Buchnevich

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+21.4%)
H2H factor Staal leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 87.5%
Defensive zone Staal 97.9%
Neutral zone Staal 96.3%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 96.6%
96.6%
3.4%
Staal Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 1 (11 meetings)
10
1
Staal Buchnevich
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
1
Staal Buchnevich
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal Buchnevich
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
33.7% (895)
+22.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
44.2% (52)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
24.3% (37)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
56.4% (9,663)
34.7% (490)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
55.2%
34.4%
P2
55.9%
33.7%
P3
54.9%
33.4%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
37.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
55.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%
38.5%
33.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 17, 2024 3 00:46 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 2 14:59 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 2 10:40 Neutral Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 2 05:33 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 2 05:17 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 2 01:32 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 1 19:35 Neutral Jordan Staal
Nov 17, 2024 1 03:08 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Jan 6, 2024 1 02:57 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 13, 2021 2 19:06 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 22, 2017 1 15:35 Defensive Jordan Staal