Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+17.3%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 61.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.2%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 50.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Staal
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
37.7% (154)
+18.4%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
42.9% (14)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
30.0% (10)
+13.0%
On power play, Staal has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
55.4% (663)
37.4% (91)
Away
54.4% (676)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
55.1%
38.9%
P2
54.7%
31.5%
P3
53.9%
42.0%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%