Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+15.4%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 72.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Staal
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
41.0% (78)
+16.2%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
44.4% (9)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (187)
20.0% (5)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
55.4% (518)
40.0% (60)
Away
55.7% (497)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
53.6%
38.1%
P2
56.6%
30.8%
P3
55.7%
54.5%
OT
65.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%