Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +24.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+24.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Staal
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
36.7% (30)
+22.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
28.6% (7)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
0.0% (2)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
59.0% (578)
31.3% (16)
Away
55.9% (707)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
57.1%
35.7%
P2
60.9%
33.3%
P3
55.8%
30.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |