Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +25.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Buchnevich 36.3% (+25.8%)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Staal
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
28.6% (192)
+27.7%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
55.6% (9)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
30.8% (13)
+21.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 28.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
58.3% (705)
30.4% (112)
Away
53.3% (769)
29.4% (102)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
54.5%
27.7%
P2
58.2%
33.3%
P3
54.1%
27.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%