Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Staal
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
37.6% (197)
+21.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
50.0% (6)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
0.0% (3)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
57.0% (646)
43.0% (114)
Away
59.1% (729)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
55.9%
40.0%
P2
55.4%
35.7%
P3
62.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |