Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Staal
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Hartman
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
44.8% (936)
+14.1%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
49.4% (154)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
33.3% (54)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
59.0% (578)
47.4% (568)
Away
55.9% (707)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
57.1%
47.2%
P2
60.9%
43.4%
P3
55.8%
43.8%
OT
20.8%
53.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |