Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Hartman 48.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 73.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 61.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 67.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Staal
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Staal
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Staal
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
48.1% (520)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
44.7% (47)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
47.8% (23)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
54.3% (667)
48.3% (360)
Away
54.7% (662)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
56.2%
48.5%
P2
57.0%
45.2%
P3
49.7%
49.6%
OT
68.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |