Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Hartman 47.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 54.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Staal
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
47.1% (649)
+11.8%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
47.1% (68)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
45.2% (73)
+6.6%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
57.0% (646)
46.5% (361)
Away
59.1% (729)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
55.9%
45.1%
P2
55.4%
44.4%
P3
62.0%
50.9%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |