Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Hartman 44.0% (+12.8%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Staal
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
42.6% (495)
+13.7%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
38.5% (26)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
48.8% (43)
+3.3%
On power play, Staal has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
58.3% (705)
43.4% (288)
Away
53.3% (769)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
54.5%
43.1%
P2
58.2%
43.4%
P3
54.1%
42.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%