Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Hartman 45.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Staal
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Staal
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
44.8% (830)
+11.3%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
47.8% (92)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
37.5% (16)
+5.5%
On power play, Staal has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
55.4% (663)
45.0% (515)
Away
54.4% (676)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
55.1%
46.5%
P2
54.7%
39.9%
P3
53.9%
48.6%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |