Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Poehling 47.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Staal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Poehling
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Staal
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
45.1% (437)
+13.8%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
56.4% (39)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
61.5% (13)
-12.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Staal
Poehling
Home
59.0% (578)
46.6% (232)
Away
55.9% (707)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Staal
Poehling
P1
57.1%
43.9%
P2
60.9%
49.1%
P3
55.8%
46.4%
OT
20.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |