Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Poehling 46.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 51.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Staal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
46.5% (269)
+9.8%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
66.7% (3)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
42.4% (139)
+9.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Staal
Poehling
Home
58.3% (705)
45.2% (177)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Staal
Poehling
P1
54.5%
47.7%
P2
58.2%
44.4%
P3
54.1%
44.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |