Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Poehling 47.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 54.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Staal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Poehling
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Staal
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
49.8% (626)
+6.3%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
58.3% (12)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
38.2% (207)
+4.8%
On power play, Staal has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Staal
Poehling
Home
55.4% (663)
47.3% (404)
Away
54.4% (676)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Staal
Poehling
P1
55.1%
53.5%
P2
54.7%
39.4%
P3
53.9%
49.1%
OT
70.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |