Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Poehling 50.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 58.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Staal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Staal
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.6% (622)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
58.3% (12)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
39.8% (103)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Staal
Poehling
Home
54.3% (667)
53.2% (393)
Away
54.7% (662)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Staal
Poehling
P1
56.2%
50.9%
P2
57.0%
56.2%
P3
49.7%
46.1%
OT
68.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |