Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Poehling 49.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Staal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Staal
Poehling
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
50.4% (752)
+8.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
37.0% (27)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
45.3% (159)
+6.5%
On power play, Staal has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Staal
Poehling
Home
57.0% (646)
51.2% (467)
Away
59.1% (729)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Staal
Poehling
P1
55.9%
54.6%
P2
55.4%
46.7%
P3
62.0%
46.7%
OT
70.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |