Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 52.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Staal
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Reinhart
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
48.0% (275)
+10.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
48.1% (52)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
53.1% (32)
-4.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Staal
Reinhart
Home
59.0% (578)
49.8% (201)
Away
55.9% (707)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Staal
Reinhart
P1
57.1%
54.8%
P2
60.9%
40.5%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
OT
20.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |