Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 86.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Staal
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Staal
Reinhart
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
4
Staal
Reinhart
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
3
Staal
Reinhart
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
3
Staal
Reinhart
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
42.5% (2,173)
+13.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
46.5% (525)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.3% (339)
+6.7%
On power play, Staal has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Staal
Reinhart
Home
56.4% (9,663)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Staal
Reinhart
P1
55.2%
44.5%
P2
55.9%
40.5%
P3
54.9%
44.5%
OT
56.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |