Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 73.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 56.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Staal
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Staal
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.4% (259)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
54.4% (136)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
47.9% (71)
+4.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Staal
Reinhart
Home
58.3% (705)
54.9% (235)
Away
53.3% (769)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Staal
Reinhart
P1
54.5%
52.3%
P2
58.2%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |