Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Staal
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Staal
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
39.0% (77)
+17.1%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
35.4% (48)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
40.9% (22)
+2.1%
On power play, Staal has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Staal
Reinhart
Home
55.4% (663)
35.7% (84)
Away
54.4% (676)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Staal
Reinhart
P1
55.1%
42.6%
P2
54.7%
34.7%
P3
53.9%
37.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |