Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Staal
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Staal
Reinhart
Last 9: Staal 5-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Reinhart
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Staal
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
44.1% (324)
+12.9%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
40.3% (72)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
33.9% (118)
+11.2%
On power play, Staal has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Staal
Reinhart
Home
54.3% (667)
40.5% (232)
Away
54.7% (662)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Staal
Reinhart
P1
56.2%
46.4%
P2
57.0%
32.6%
P3
49.7%
45.4%
OT
68.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |