Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.2%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Crosby 54.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 70.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
10
Staal
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Staal
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (1,058)
53.1% (1,114)
+3.6%
Power Play
66.9% (175)
63.2% (272)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (279)
60.0% (15)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
55.8% (755)
56.1% (731)
Away
55.2% (757)
54.2% (670)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
56.3%
55.3%
P2
55.4%
51.7%
P3
53.9%
58.3%
OT
71.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
68.0%▲
58.0%
55.5%
Crosby
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |