Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 112 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 182-161 in 343 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
161
-
182
(343 meetings)
161
182
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
25
87
Staal
Crosby
112 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
81
37
Staal
Crosby
118 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
55
58
Staal
Crosby
113 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
52.8% (17,990)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
57.4% (4,733)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
47.1% (765)
+0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
55.2%
53.6%
P2
55.9%
53.9%
P3
54.9%
53.3%
OT
56.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |