Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
10
Staal
Crosby
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
13
1
Staal
Crosby
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
4
Staal
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
52.5% (1,443)
+3.8%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
54.7% (369)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
55.9% (34)
-3.8%
On power play, Staal has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
58.3% (705)
53.0% (931)
Away
53.3% (769)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
54.5%
50.3%
P2
58.2%
55.4%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |