Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Crosby 56.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Staal
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
11
1
Staal
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
56.2% (1,451)
+0.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
61.4% (293)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
55.3% (38)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
54.3% (667)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.7% (662)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
56.2%
54.9%
P2
57.0%
60.8%
P3
49.7%
55.4%
OT
68.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |