Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 74.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 56.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Staal
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
5
Staal
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
50.8% (1,169)
+8.1%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
60.2% (261)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
45.0% (20)
+4.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
59.0% (578)
53.2% (726)
Away
55.9% (707)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
57.1%
51.3%
P2
60.9%
52.1%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
20.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |