Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.1% vs 58.2%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Crosby 57.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 78.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
Staal
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
4
Staal
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
5
Staal
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
57.8% (1,437)
+1.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
60.9% (381)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
50.0% (54)
+1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
57.0% (646)
59.2% (985)
Away
59.1% (729)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
55.9%
57.3%
P2
55.4%
59.5%
P3
62.0%
58.5%
OT
70.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OT | 00:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 03:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | OT | 00:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |