Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.4%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Crosby 55.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 59.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Staal
Crosby
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
9
Staal
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Staal
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Staal
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
54.7% (1,423)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
62.1% (327)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
40.8% (76)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
58.8% (522)
56.2% (907)
Away
52.7% (501)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
60.8%
55.7%
P2
55.9%
55.0%
P3
51.7%
54.9%
OT
46.2%
70.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |