Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Johnson 55.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Johnson
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Staal
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
55.9% (93)
-6.2%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
66.7% (18)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
80.0% (10)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 63.3% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
50.0% (446)
67.2% (61)
Away
50.2% (468)
51.7% (60)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
49.5%
70.5%
P3
50.5%
52.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
69.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
59.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |