Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Johnson 45.7% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 79.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Staal
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
44.6% (285)
+14.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
46.7% (60)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
16.7% (6)
+35.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
57.0% (646)
50.8% (179)
Away
59.1% (729)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
55.9%
41.3%
P2
55.4%
41.8%
P3
62.0%
49.6%
OT
70.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |