Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
61.9% (42)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
55.6% (9)
-2.2%
On even strength, Johnson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
59.0% (578)
52.0% (25)
Away
55.9% (707)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
57.1%
72.0%
P2
60.9%
66.7%
P3
55.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |