Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Johnson 50.7% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 76.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Staal
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
47.4% (78)
+8.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
57.6% (33)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
100.0% (2)
-47.9%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
58.3% (705)
50.9% (57)
Away
53.3% (769)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
54.5%
44.1%
P2
58.2%
59.4%
P3
54.1%
52.3%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%