Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Johnson 51.4% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 62.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Staal
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
63.6% (11)
-6.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
54.3% (667)
62.5% (8)
Away
54.7% (662)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P2
57.0%
85.7%
P3
49.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%