Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Johnson 50.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 91.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Staal
Johnson
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Johnson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
51.8% (548)
+4.1%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
51.7% (58)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
40.7% (113)
+9.9%
On power play, Staal has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
57.2% (684)
53.6% (371)
Away
56.0% (654)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
53.0%
50.9%
P2
58.2%
50.2%
P3
58.9%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |