Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 61.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Johnson 53.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Johnson
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
55.3% (284)
+1.9%
Power Play
71.3% (171)
50.0% (26)
+21.3%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 61.5% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
57.6% (566)
57.4% (162)
Away
58.4% (517)
52.0% (148)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
55.6%
51.5%
P2
58.5%
61.8%
P3
60.6%
47.4%
OT
43.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |