Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 63.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Seguin 50.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Seguin
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
51.1% (720)
+8.0%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
54.2% (59)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
14.3% (7)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
61.2% (600)
52.0% (421)
Away
56.9% (566)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
60.1%
51.3%
P3
59.1%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |