Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Seguin 54.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Seguin
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Staal
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
55.0% (713)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
56.7% (104)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
47.2% (53)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
58.3% (705)
56.2% (443)
Away
53.3% (769)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
54.5%
54.2%
P2
58.2%
52.9%
P3
54.1%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |