Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 60.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Staal
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
56.9% (478)
+2.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.4% (54)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
51.3% (76)
+0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
57.0% (646)
57.4% (317)
Away
59.1% (729)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
55.9%
50.3%
P2
55.4%
60.4%
P3
62.0%
58.0%
OT
70.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |