Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Seguin 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Staal
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
54.8% (135)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
58.3% (24)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
26.7% (15)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
54.3% (667)
47.4% (95)
Away
54.7% (662)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
56.2%
50.8%
P2
57.0%
57.1%
P3
49.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |