Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Seguin
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
56.5% (712)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
59.7% (67)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
44.9% (49)
+4.2%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
59.0% (578)
58.5% (402)
Away
55.9% (707)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
57.1%
58.4%
P2
60.9%
54.7%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
20.8%
72.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | OT | 04:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |