Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 40 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 50-44 in 94 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
44
(94 meetings)
50
44
Staal
Seguin
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
15
14
Staal
Seguin
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
10
15
Staal
Seguin
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
25
15
Staal
Seguin
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
53.7% (8,071)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
55.9% (810)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
49.3% (762)
-1.3%
On power play, Staal has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
55.2%
52.8%
P2
55.9%
53.3%
P3
54.9%
54.7%
OT
56.2%
54.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |