Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 75.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Karlsson
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
48.9% (662)
+7.0%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
46.7% (107)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
41.2% (68)
+9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
57.2% (684)
46.1% (401)
Away
56.0% (654)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
53.0%
46.6%
P2
58.2%
49.5%
P3
58.9%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |