Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Karlsson 55.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 75.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Staal
Karlsson
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
6
Staal
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Staal
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
56.3% (739)
+2.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
58.6% (181)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
47.2% (53)
+4.6%
On power play, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
57.0% (646)
56.5% (462)
Away
59.1% (729)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
55.9%
57.1%
P2
55.4%
55.2%
P3
62.0%
56.7%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |