Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
51.4% (735)
+7.5%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
63.5% (115)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
42.9% (133)
+6.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
59.0% (578)
52.3% (524)
Away
55.9% (707)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
57.1%
50.7%
P2
60.9%
51.4%
P3
55.8%
53.2%
OT
20.8%
41.2%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |