Jordan Staal vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 40-31 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
31
(71 meetings)
40
31
Staal
Karlsson
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
11
12
Staal
Karlsson
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
16
8
Staal
Karlsson
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
13
11
Staal
Karlsson
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
51.8% (7,849)
+4.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
54.8% (1,048)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
44.2% (1,109)
+3.8%
On power play, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
56.4% (9,663)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
55.2%
50.3%
P2
55.9%
51.3%
P3
54.9%
52.4%
OT
56.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |