Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 64.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Karlsson
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
47.4% (1,012)
+9.3%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
45.6% (136)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
53.5% (86)
-7.1%
On power play, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
58.8% (522)
47.7% (658)
Away
52.7% (501)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
60.8%
46.6%
P2
55.9%
47.2%
P3
51.7%
49.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |