Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Sturm 52.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 79.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 57.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Norris
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Norris
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Norris
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Norris
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
54.0% (480)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
28.6% (7)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
50.0% (102)
-11.2%
On power play, Norris has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Norris
Sturm
Home
55.6% (487)
54.0% (287)
Away
47.0% (549)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Norris
Sturm
P1
54.8%
53.5%
P2
51.3%
51.0%
P3
48.0%
55.1%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |